Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 436.403668 495.868169 561.753385 640.388602 731.974672 835.619096 962.271648
2026-01-18 340.216050 416.086770 507.608670 627.009895 779.937127 970.936763 1230.214634
2026-01-25 287.801945 368.836829 472.070384 614.833224 809.661421 1069.925093 1450.157939
2026-02-01 260.565204 347.233350 462.829479 630.841440 873.083402 1216.420586 1752.167087
2026-02-08 233.892495 321.859727 443.728359 628.389279 907.337944 1323.339977 2010.923801
2026-02-15 211.280537 298.924847 424.417569 621.650325 932.171478 1416.915954 2261.259981
2026-02-22 195.485989 283.739354 414.020872 625.894338 972.741092 1538.326426 2574.736762
2026-03-01 178.659278 265.113432 396.168424 615.773726 987.898107 1618.803374 2829.184669
2026-03-08 165.509756 250.732975 383.179369 611.490638 1011.316385 1715.102948 3127.055779
2026-03-15 150.221949 231.569411 360.679821 588.666049 999.347565 1746.071550 3303.870622
2026-03-22 145.149239 228.292756 363.509812 609.084570 1066.367902 1930.427818 3819.502905
2026-03-29 141.238867 226.502470 368.487289 633.537197 1143.488049 2144.657207 4439.297570
2026-04-05 133.625964 218.050947 361.656186 636.470305 1181.184129 2288.874300 4941.559525
2026-04-12 124.197789 205.754300 347.075358 623.480174 1185.960830 2366.204803 5306.671135
2026-04-19 115.867888 194.708172 333.735261 611.344120 1190.670571 2443.521750 5687.324884
2026-04-26 112.226955 191.707172 334.724332 627.252757 1255.938702 2664.781462 6483.576150
2026-05-03 106.460054 184.387322 327.027572 624.815963 1281.132897 2797.773579 7076.600068
2026-05-10 100.659825 176.576015 317.746983 618.121182 1295.900718 2908.070665 7632.729645
2026-05-17 96.628228 171.781919 313.873932 622.337430 1335.995328 3086.850835 8433.380372
2026-05-24 91.305411 164.155846 303.838394 612.282955 1341.298110 3178.054290 8990.835665
2026-05-31 87.015044 158.238827 296.764616 608.027806 1360.018765 3307.508866 9704.805616
2026-06-07 81.155714 148.882132 282.058590 585.351604 1330.659424 3302.723869 9973.592979
2026-06-14 79.939542 148.648203 286.069292 605.637421 1412.098708 3619.276090 11441.651725